Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003059 0.003292 0.003546 0.003847 0.004196 0.004593 0.005086
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002697 0.003002 0.003358 0.003812 0.004388 0.005114 0.006137
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002520 0.002882 0.003327 0.003932 0.004765 0.005931 0.007827
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002378 0.002777 0.003288 0.004021 0.005104 0.006782 0.009965
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002209 0.002615 0.003150 0.003943 0.005180 0.007247 0.011724
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002048 0.002446 0.002980 0.003792 0.005106 0.007431 0.013047
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001954 0.002359 0.002912 0.003779 0.005244 0.008036 0.015905
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001797 0.002173 0.002689 0.003503 0.004892 0.007578 0.015415
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.002127 0.002664 0.003532 0.005076 0.008289 0.019513
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001719 0.002118 0.002690 0.003644 0.005433 0.009537 0.028668
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001671 0.002074 0.002659 0.003658 0.005600 0.010404 0.039941
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001656 0.002075 0.002696 0.003790 0.006038 0.012304 0.084253
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001605 0.002024 0.002652 0.003784 0.006201 0.013570 0.210024
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001543 0.001954 0.002575 0.003711 0.006200 0.014300 0.986653
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001520 0.001941 0.002589 0.003809 0.006638 0.017357 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001494 0.001922 0.002592 0.003885 0.007051 0.021160 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001444 0.001863 0.002522 0.003810 0.007031 0.022481 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001385 0.001788 0.002424 0.003667 0.006792 0.022028 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001353 0.001753 0.002390 0.003653 0.006930 0.024804 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001281 0.001653 0.002242 0.003394 0.006295 0.020539 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001260 0.001635 0.002232 0.003421 0.006528 0.024001 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001254 0.001637 0.002258 0.003527 0.007038 0.032274 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001233 0.001616 0.002241 0.003539 0.007253 0.038915 NaN